US-China experts warn of ‘bloody affair for both sides’ if war were to start


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Defense experts told Fox News Digital that any conflict between the U.S. and China would be costly for both sides and would hinge on a few key points — and not necessarily in the U.S.’s favor.

“If you were to rank them, I would put Taiwan first, the South China Sea second, The Senkaku Islands ranked third And then elsewhere in the world,” said James Anderson, acting undersecretary of defense for the Trump administration, adding that the Sea of ​​Japan could also serve as a flashpoint for conflict with China.

President Biden reiterated this position in May when he told a reporter. Defending Taiwan, even militarily, “The covenant we made.”

Fox News Digital spoke to former defense officials and experts.

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President Biden meets with Chinese President Xi Jinping during a virtual summit from the Roosevelt Room of the White House on November 15, 2021 in Washington, DC. Photo by Getty Images Mandel Ngan/AFP

Proximity to China would give Beijing a significant advantage, as how Russia saw a swing in momentum During the invasion of Ukraine when it shortened its supply lines to focus on areas just beyond its western border in the Donbass region.

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“The problem is that in the Indo-Pacific theater, the closer you get to China, the more [China] could concentrate its military assets,” Anderson explained. “What’s particularly concerning for the United States and its allies are ballistic missiles and the fact that China might Ahead of us with hypersonic weapons“Which could allow China to target jet carriers and other surface ships harder and faster.

Even with this advantage, China faces a key conflict that Dr. John Lee, a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute and former senior national security adviser to Australian Foreign Minister Julie Bishop, says is “for both sides. “A very bloody affair” will prove.

Members of the Chinese Navy stand on the deck of the guided missile destroyer Suzhou of the Escort Task Force at a military port in Zhoushan, Zhejiang Province, China, May 18, 2022.

Members of the Chinese Navy stand on the deck of the guided missile destroyer Suzhou of the Escort Task Force at a military port in Zhoushan, Zhejiang Province, China, May 18, 2022.
(VCG/VCG via Getty Images)

“Over the past two decades, the United States and allies have been very passive, allowing the People’s Liberation Army to gain air and sea dominance in this theater,” Lee said. “Of course, [they] Now getting serious about developing long-range strike capabilities, hypersonic strike capabilities, asymmetric capabilities … and a range of non-military measures that would include economic and financial sanctions.”

“In short, the United States and its allies have many good and powerful options to ensure military and strategic balance,” he added.

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Anderson also mentioned the US military’s ability to counter missiles. However, this capability loses the effectiveness of “saturation attacks”, which are intended to effectively reduce the target from missiles and increase the defense effort.

So America has also focused on trying. Strengthen Taiwan through “Sorki Strategy”. which will see nations supply the island nation with large amounts of anti-tank and anti-aircraft weapons to help close the gap on China’s military superiority.

Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen (R) listens as he inspects the training of reservists at a military base in Taiwan on March 12, 2022.

Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen (R) listens as he inspects the training of reservists at a military base in Taiwan on March 12, 2022.
(Photo by SAM YEH/AFP via Getty Images)

According to the Brookings Institution, China has a manpower advantage over the US, with China’s 2.8 million military outnumbering only the US, but naval and air combat operations will severely limit this advantage.

“At this stage, China has had and Maritime dominance over the Taiwan Strait But cannot land troops successfully on Taiwan,” Li said. “If it gains the ability to do so, China will see the military option as more attractive.”

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Matt McInnes of the Institute for the Study of War notes that China’s goals will largely dictate its coordination and deployment: any attempt to secure islands in disputed seas and straits is likely to involve Chinese forces. will suppress, leaving limited use for troop deployment.

“With your objectives and what they want to achieve with the naval and air forces, you probably have some leverage for the Marines to capture some small pieces of territory and some small islands,” McInnes said. McInnes added that Beijing would simply go ahead with the attack. Once he felt reasonably confident that US forces would not be able to deploy to the region quickly enough.

Taiwan has been conducting military exercises to demonstrate its ability to resist Chinese pressure to accept Beijing's political control over the island.

Taiwan has been conducting military exercises to demonstrate its ability to resist Chinese pressure to accept Beijing’s political control over the island.
(AP Photo/ Johnson Lai)

Anderson noted that China has closed the gap in other military domains, but has not yet overtaken the United States, acknowledging that China has “ Largest number of ships in the world Today”, but that the US still has the advantage in terms of quality, and this is true even of a “superior” US Air Force.

gave The US can also rely on regional partners. China, on the other hand, has few allies to turn to, mostly looking to countries like Russia to help “deflect” economic pressure from the United States and its allies, according to McInnes.

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“Certainly there will be economic lines of effort … and I’m pretty sure that’s how China views Russia in the long term., as well as Major energy suppliers like Iran“But I don’t think we’re at that point in the relationship between countries, certainly including North Korea.” Where they will necessarily provide operational support. or direct lethal aid to China.”

Li believes that China’s position was weakened when it overstretched its hand and revealed its “broader intentions” to “dominate East Asia”, a move that would ensure the US and its allies encouraged them to counter China’s ambitions.

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“China wants to convince the US and its allies that defending Taiwan is not worth it, the cost will be too high,” he said. “China’s problem is that it has shown its broader intentions, which is to dominate East Asia: therefore, a successful Chinese occupation of Taiwan would lead China further, rather than to a more complacent power. will encourage.”



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